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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">medsovet</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Медицинский Совет</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Meditsinskiy sovet = Medical Council</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2079-701X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-5790</issn><publisher><publisher-name>REMEDIUM GROUP Ltd.</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21518/2079-701X-2022-16-4-146-155</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">medsovet-6780</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Оториноларингология</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Otorhinolaryngology</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Персонализированный прогноз результатов реконструктивно-санирующей хирургии хронического среднего отита</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Personalized prediction of the results of reconstructive surgery for chronic otitis media</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7085-113X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дубинец</surname><given-names>И. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dubinets</surname><given-names>I. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Дубинец Ирина Дмитриевна, к.м.н., доцент кафедры оториноларингологии</p><p>454092, Россия, Челябинск, ул. Воровского, д. 64</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Irina D. Dubinets, Cand. Sci. (Med.), Associate Professor of the Department of Otorhinolaryngology</p><p>64, Vorovskiy St., Chelyabinsk, 454092</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">89124728166@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8642-0166</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Коркмазов</surname><given-names>М. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Korkmazov</surname><given-names>M. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Коркмазов Мусос Юсуфович, д.м.н., профессор, заведующий кафедрой оториноларингологии</p><p>454092, Россия, Челябинск, ул. Воровского, д. 64</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Musos Yu. Korkmazov, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Professor, Head of the Department of Otorhinolaryngology</p><p>64, Vorovskiy St., Chelyabinsk, 454092</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Korkmazov74@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3981-9158</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Коркмазов</surname><given-names>А. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Korkmazov</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Коркмазов Арсен Мусосович, к.м.н., доцент кафедры оториноларингологии</p><p>454092, Россия, Челябинск, ул. Воровского, д. 64</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Arsen M. Korkmazov, Cand. Sci. (Med.), Associate Professor of the Department of Otorhinolaryngology</p><p>64, Vorovskiy St., Chelyabinsk, 454092</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Korkmazov09@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-3976</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Синицкий</surname><given-names>А. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sinitskii</surname><given-names>A. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Синицкий Антон Иванович, д.м.н., доцент, заведующий кафедрой биохимии имени Р.И. Лифшица</p><p>454092, Россия, Челябинск, ул. Воровского, д. 64</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anton I. Sinitskii, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Associate Professor, Acting Head of the Department of Biological Chemistry (Biochemistry) named after R.I.  Lifshitsa</p><p>64, Vorovskiy St., Chelyabinsk, 454092</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Sinitskiyai@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1961-6644</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мокина</surname><given-names>М. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mokina</surname><given-names>M. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мокина Мария Владимировна, врач-оториноларинголог, городская клиническая больница №6</p><p>454017, Челябинск, ул. Румянцева, д. 28а</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mariya V. Mokina, Otorhinolaryngologist</p><p>28a, Rumyantsev St., Chelyabinsk, 454017</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">masha0587@rambler.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Южно-Уральский государственный медицинский университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>South Ural State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Городская клиническая больница №6</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>City Clinical Hospital No. 6</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>07</day><month>04</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>146</fpage><lpage>155</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Дубинец И.Д., Коркмазов М.Ю., Коркмазов А.М., Синицкий А.И., Мокина М.В., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Дубинец И.Д., Коркмазов М.Ю., Коркмазов А.М., Синицкий А.И., Мокина М.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Dubinets I.D., Korkmazov M.Y., Korkmazov A.M., Sinitskii A.I., Mokina M.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.med-sovet.pro/jour/article/view/6780">https://www.med-sovet.pro/jour/article/view/6780</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Введение</title><p>Введение. Целью хирургического лечения пациентов с хроническим средним отитом является устранение последствий воспалительно-деструктивного заболевания с сохранением анатомии среднего уха и улучшением слуховой функции. Согласно литературным данным, результат реконструктивной хирургии среднего уха для хирурга и пациента в большинстве случаев остается непредсказуемым. Разработка комплексного подхода к прогнозу результатов реконструктивно-санирующей хирургии среднего уха позволит подобрать максимально эффективную хирургическую тактику по срокам и виду оперативного вмешательства.</p></sec><sec><title>Цель исследования</title><p>Цель исследования. Разработать методологию персонализированного прогноза результата реконструктивно-санирующей хирургии у пациентов с хроническими средними отитами и обосновать выбор оптимальной хирургической тактики на основе клинико-функциональных параметров.</p></sec><sec><title>Материалы и  методы</title><p>Материалы и  методы. Проведено ретроспективное исследование по  сопоставлению данных анкетирования пациентов по авторской методике персонализированного прогноза «Способ прогнозирования результата тимпанопластики и степени потери слуха в отохирургии при хроническом среднем отите» с результатами хирургического лечения 263 пациентов, оперированных в стационарах г. Челябинска в 2018–2020 гг.</p></sec><sec><title>Результаты и обсуждение</title><p>Результаты и обсуждение. В результате прогнозирования по сумме баллов у пациентов определили объем, вид и сроки операции. Сумма баллов ≤ 20 оценивалась как благоприятный прогноз реконструктивно-санирующей хирургии. Сумма баллов в интервале от 21–40 оценивалась как возможность проведения одномоментной хирургии с целью санации и реконструкции, но пациент должен быть информирован о неблагоприятном прогнозе для восстановления слуха. Сумма более 41 балла оценивается как неблагоприятный прогноз с показанием к раздельно-этапной хирургии, свидетельствующий о социально значимой потере слуха в послеоперационном периоде у пациентов с хроническим средним отитом.</p></sec><sec><title>Выводы</title><p>Выводы. Персонализированный подход к прогнозированию результатов хирургического лечения формирует группы пациентов с хроническим средним отитом и помогает в выборе хирургической тактики по виду, объему и срокам одномоментной или раздельно-этапной реконструктивно-санирующей хирургии и необходимости реоперации на сроке один год.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Introduction</title><p>Introduction. The goal of the surgical treatment of patients with chronic otitis media is to eliminate the consequences of the inflammatory and destructive disease while preserving the anatomy of the middle ear and improving auditory function. According to the literature, the outcome of middle ear reconstructive surgery for the surgeon and the patient in most cases remains unpredictable. The development of an integrated approach to predicting the results of reconstructive sanitizing surgery will make it  possible to select the most effective surgical tactics in terms of treatment time and type of surgical intervention.</p></sec><sec><title>Aim</title><p>Aim. To develop a methodology for personalized prediction of the result of operations on the temporal bone in patients with chronic otitis media and substantiate the choice of optimal surgical tactics, taking into account clinical and functional parameters.</p></sec><sec><title>Materials and methods</title><p>Materials and methods. A retrospective study was carried out to compare the data of patients with the use of the author’s personalized prognosis method: “A method for predicting the result of tympanoplasty” and “A method for predicting the degree of  hearing loss in otosurgery for chronic otitis media” with the results of surgical treatment of 263 patients with chronic otitis media, operated on in hospitals in Moscow. Chelyabinsk in 2018–2020.</p></sec><sec><title>Results and discussion</title><p>Results and discussion. In the observation, the patients were divided into two groups according to the sum of points, which determined the volume, type and timing of the operation. The sum of points less than or equal to 20 was assessed as a favorable prognosis for reconstructive debridement surgery. The sum of points in the range from 21–40 was assessed as the possibility of carrying out onestage surgery for the purpose of sanitation and reconstruction, but the patient should be informed about the unfavorable prognosis for the restoration of hearing. A score greater than 40 is assessed as an unfavorable prognosis, with an indication for separate-stage surgery, indicating a socially significant hearing loss in the postoperative period in patients with chronic otitis media.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusion</title><p>Conclusion. A personalized approach to predicting the results of surgical treatment forms groups of patients with chronic suppurative otitis media and helps in choosing surgical tactics in terms of the type, volume and timing of one-stage or separatestage reconstructive surgery and the need for reoperation for a period of one year.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>хронический средний отит</kwd><kwd>прогноз хирургии</kwd><kwd>тимпанопластика</kwd><kwd>индекс риска среднего уха</kwd><kwd>факторы риска</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>chronic otitis media</kwd><kwd>surgery prognosis</kwd><kwd>tympanoplasty</kwd><kwd>middle ear risk index</kwd><kwd>risk factors</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Гаров Е.В. Хронический гнойный средний отит: терминология, диагностика и лечебная тактика. РМЖ. 2011;(6):390–393. 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